Bank Valuation

NORTHERN TRUST CORPORATION

2026Q2 · RSSD 1199611

Illustrative Valuation Analysis

Tangible Common Equity

$11.75B

TTM Common Earnings

$2.20B

ROTCE

27.29%

Observed Payout (TTM)

27.5%

CET1 Ratio

12.20%

Tier 1 Ratio

13.05%

Total Capital Ratio

15.45%

Metric definitions & methodology

Definitions for the principal banking metrics and valuation assumptions used by BankMetrics AI. BankMetrics-calculated metrics are distinguished from reported FR Y-9C ratios.

Tangible Common Equity (TCE)

BankMetrics-calculated common equity less the FR Y-9C intangible assets used in the tangible book value calculation.

TTM Common Earnings

Sum of the most recent four consecutive quarters of net income available to common shareholders after preferred dividends.

ROTCE

BankMetrics-calculated annualized quarterly common earnings divided by average quarterly tangible common equity.

Observed Payout (TTM)

TTM common dividends divided by TTM common earnings.

CET1 Ratio

Reported FR Y-9C Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio.

Tier 1 Ratio

Reported FR Y-9C Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio.

Total Capital Ratio

Reported FR Y-9C total risk-based capital ratio.

P / TBV

Selected equity-value multiple applied to tangible common equity. Current multiples are illustrative inputs, not observed market multiples.

P / E

Selected equity-value multiple applied to TTM common earnings. Current multiples are illustrative inputs.

Cost of Equity

Required shareholder return used as the discount rate in the DDM.

Long-term Growth

Long-term sustainable dividend growth assumption used in the DDM terminal-value calculation.

Payout Ratio

Share of normalized common earnings assumed to be distributed to common shareholders in the DDM.

Historical Analytics

Profitability & Capital Trends

Historical profitability and regulatory-capital trends provide context for current valuation and peer positioning.

Profitability

ROTCE Trend

ROTCE
36.7%27.7%18.7%9.8%0.8%2018Q12020Q12022Q12024Q12026Q2

Capital Strength

Capital Ratio Trend

CET1Tier 1Total Capital
17.3%15.3%13.2%11.2%9.1%2018Q12020Q12022Q12024Q12026Q2

Note: Reported capital ratios are shown; this does not determine institution-specific requirements or well-capitalized status.

Illustrative Valuation Analysis

Selected multiples and DDM assumptions are illustrative user inputs. They do not represent observed market multiples, public-company consensus estimates, or investment advice.

Valuation Method

P / TBV

Selected multiple applied to Tangible Common Equity

Low

x

$10.57B

Base

x

$12.92B

High

x

$15.27B

Valuation Method

P / E

Selected multiple applied to TTM common earnings

Low

x

$19.80B

Base

x

$24.20B

High

x

$28.60B

Dividend Discount Model

DDM Assumptions

One-stage sustainable-growth DDM based on common earnings and selected payout.

AssumptionLowBaseHigh
Cost of Equity
%
%
%
Long-term Growth
%
%
%
Payout Ratio
%
%
%
Implied Equity Value$7.89B$10.66B$14.64B

Valuation Visualization

Valuation Football Field

Compare implied equity-value ranges across P/TBV, P/E and DDM on a common axis.

P / TBV

$10.6B$15.3B

$12.9B

P / E

$19.8B$28.6B

$24.2B

DDM

$7.9B$14.6B

$10.7B

Current multiples and DDM assumptions are illustrative inputs, not observed market multiples.

Diagnostics

Observed Dividend Payout

27.5%

ROTCE-implied Sustainable Payout

89.0%

Capital Ratios

Available